Entrepreneurs in the future will build more than Web Sites.

blue punch tape

There will always be manufacturers making products on a massive scale. Through technology what an individual or small groups can make will be much different in the not so distant future. Labor intensive fabrication will be replaced with machine intensive fabrication. It is those people who can manage the machines who will drive the economy in the future. They will become the entrepreneurs.

Beyond counting people and collecting taxes and accounts payable one of the prime early uses for computers was to run machinery. If you know your computer history then you know it is arguable one of the first mechanical computer devices was the jacquard loom. It was a machine programmed with punch cards used to create complex patterns in woven cloth. It is partially what inspired Charles Babbage. Punch cards were in use as recently as the seventies and rolls of tape were in use into the early 90’s. Large manufacturers have long depended on automated devices to control the fabrication process.

There are a lot of smart people out there who just want knowledge and information to be free. Free as in liberty and sometimes if not most times free as in beer. So much has has been done by these folks it would probably fill a few of volumes just to do a summary. Traditionally software has been the “magic” intangible keeping advanced systems out of the hands of those small time entrepreneurs who could benefit. There has been a wall of business types and sale people all who paid themselves better than those who actually did the work. This limited distribution and also the financial opportunities for those who were actually creating today’s technological wonders. The internet has leveled the playing field. There is a lot of software that is low cost or no cost to acquire and deploy. Help is readily available ant a reasonable cost from the people who developed it if necessary.

Nothing has become more competitive than hardware. It would seem Moore’s Law was prophetic. I am constantly amazed at what can be bought for fifty dollars. The short list, would be Aduino’s, Raspberry Pi’s, and those amazing little 6560 based multi axis controllers splattered all over E-Bay. Add to that the multitude of tables cheap used workstations and tools available there too. Then there is the interest in additive manufacturing also known as 3-D printing and you have an arsenal as big as the research and development department of most corporations if they even have one.

Artificial intelligence is starting to take off as well. I could digress into the nuances of this idea. However it is apparent one of the first uses of this technology is going to be for use i knowledge systems. It will only be a matter of time before the Engineering Handbook, Machinist’s Handbook, and other things like the properties of materials and calculations for a variety of uses will all be available for the asking.

Every idea manifested into something tangible starts off as a sketch of some sort. It may be in the mind’s eye but most likely it is in the form of some kind of sketch. For the past 30 years or so it has most likely been in the form of some kind of Computer Aided Drafting System. This is another area where technology has really exploded. Traditionally it too was a high flyer with regard to cost. The software was expensive and the hardware required equally so . Today a perfectly adequate CAD system can be had affordably .

The internet is a wonderful and powerful tool. It has connected industrious and brilliant people all over the world to one another. It is my opinion and only an opinion mind you its real value has been overlooked. The direction of computers and the internet will be to free those with the ability to take control of the production of what they need on a local as well as a global scale. The disrupters will be those who will be able to provide goods locally and globally with the flexibility to adjust and adapt to the needs of the marketplace.  This will allow STEM workers a unique opportunity to become self employed empowered entrepreneurs no dependent on a banker or a corporation for their livelihood. It will be a real game changer.

The Convergence is Near

welcome to the machine

Being a vector graphics guy the significance of origin, magnitude, and direction has long been apparent. Points arranged in three dimensional space using Cartesian coordinates with vectors  connecting them creates a wire framed object. Fill in the the spaces between the the “wires” with polygonal planes and now you have a theoretical solid object. Project realistic textures onto the planes and you can create or simulate anything you can imagine.

There is a relatively new technology emerging called photogrammetry. The idea is to create a three dimensional “point cloud” from photographs. This technology applied to  LIDAR which is using light from a laser to triangulate distances to a point can create accurate real world point clouds. These systems can create millions of points quickly and store them as coordinates. These points can then be filled with planes, surfaced with photography and now you have a virtual reality database of reality. Pretty slick. Doing this in real time would be an obvious goal.

Scale is an obvious problem. In this instance it is magnitude not proportion. How this will all wash out still remains to be seen. Billions of points would not be unusual for a point cloud of suitable resolution for practical use. All of thes points would have to be stored and retrieved. The solution will most likely be some sort of cluster with a shared memory pool. Fortunately there are free (as in beer, and liberty as well) operating systems, databases, and even rendering software. This is where big opportunity exists.

Robotics for lack of a better word is developing rapidly. Recently there have been released examples of machines navigating rather adroitly over some pretty rough terrain. It shouldn’t be too long before remotely operating something on the ground should be doable. Cameras alone would not suffice for a human operator to interact with the real world. Immersing the operator into a three dimensional real time environment would be the ideal situation. Then proportion becomes relevant. A supersized strong system could be used to do the work of many. A miniaturized system could be used to go where it is uncomfortable or even impossible. The ideas here are limitless.

Virtual Realty was one of the first big concepts I encountered once my interests turned toward what can be done with graphics. The concept of turning geometry in objects and attributing physical characteristics to them was a real mind blower. Back then the physics engines and the graphics were crude. Fast forward a few decades and the landscape has changed dramatically. We have fifty dollar quad core single board computers which run on free operating systems. A multi axis motor controller can be had for the same amount of money or less. Battery technology has evolved in its own right. Three dimensional scanners are available although no cheap yet. Robots are being designed to be able to navigate and recover using autonomous systems. It is all so fascinating to watch. The day is coming when we will be able to create using our hands and eyes as naturally as we cook a meal or wash our cars to interact with the theoretical and the physical world. One person will have the ability to do things that in the past required many.

Like science fiction this is just a projection of what is to come. I hope to live to see it. Even more I hope to get to use it. I am but a passionate observer. Long ago but, in my lifetime computers were expensive, clumsy, and limited. They have evolved way beyond my ability to imagine back then. My first very expensive video card was designed around CAD. A few years later cards were being designed for games. So much development has been fueled by the internet. It is a virtual reality of sorts but, it is purely theoretical. The happy byproduct of all this might just be the internet stepping out in the physical world, converging with reality.

I am sick of you and your non business model!

nospam

This is my place to rant. There are a lot of asshats out these thinking they gonna get rich on the interwebs or some such rot. Well you know something you are epic fail and are gonna do barrel roll at some point.

Barrel_Roll

I go way back on the internet, before the days of the web which of coarse to you mouth breathers is the internet. The incessant logins, sign up for out “news” sprorge plastered in the middle of my browser and insistence my adblocker be turned off is just that a TURN OFF.

Force feeding people crap is not a way to ingratiate yourselves into peoples lives. It is a sure fired way to drive people off. The sales weasels have taken over everything and frankly just made it all plain bad. I for one have been withdrawing steadily from any interest in anything on more and more sites. I look at the link, see it is from a clickbait “news site” and just ignore it.

Knock this crap off. The sales idiot and the marketing morons are just that STUPID. You are too lazy or unsophisticated to inline your advertising. GO HOME. You do not belong on the internet and your investors are doomed to failure. Do you have stock in one of these companies? Sell it, sell it now, the little babies who think everyone on the internet is an idiot are just burning your dollars into a death spiral. STOP listening to the herd, get your act together. Just because you are dealing with millions of impressions does not mean you aren’t are simply pissing off millions of users who will eventually through the effect of cumulative abuse will just tune you out all together.

Just say no! It is effective advertising companies want. Sporging a page with a zillion ads obscuring the purpose the client is there is counter effective. I go on sites, read the ads, and even click through occasionally. I am not against advertisers. However i am not just some gullet for you to cram your crap into so you can pay your bills. As soon as you make me start to feel like one then screw you and I am not coming back either!

Ok its time for something new

I am constantly meddling in something. I have been wanting to update my website for sometime now. So this seemed to be a good thing to try this out to see if it suits me. Welcome to Engraf’s other side. I.E. not the static page. Well the static page isn’t really static but that is another topic. Anyhow I like old pictures so I though I would start it off with an old picture of Granby St. My favorite street in Norfolk this one is from the early 20th century.

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